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The Masters · Pool Live

Augusta National · 2026

2026-04-10 13:58 EDT · 20,000 sims · field completion 39% · wave bias +0.00 · auto-refresh 2m

#	Entry	Win %	Top-3 %	Live	Proj	Conf	Picks
1	Mike Madarasz	17.2%	39.6%	-2	+4	39%	Scottie Scheffler: -2 (30h) Patrick Reed: -3 (20h) Adam Scott: +2 (36h) Corey Conners: +2 (34h) Max Homa: -1 (28h) Dustin Johnson: E (21h)
2	Colt Agar	11.6%	29.4%	-3	+7	36%	Rory McIlroy: -5 (19h) Brooks Koepka: -3 (32h) Justin Thomas: +1 (31h) Cameron Smith: +5 (23h) Max Homa: -1 (28h) Dustin Johnson: E (21h)
3	Adam Kunes	8.5%	26.0%	+1	+7	39%	Scottie Scheffler: -2 (30h) Hideki Matsuyama: +1 (19h) Jason Day: -3 (22h) Corey Conners: +2 (34h) Max Homa: -1 (28h) Brian Harman: +4 (36h)
4	Adam Ryan	8.1%	21.6%	+2	+10	37%	Scottie Scheffler: -2 (30h) Hideki Matsuyama: +1 (19h) Patrick Cantlay: +5 (18h) Sungjae Im: +1 (36h) Keegan Bradley: +1 (22h) Wyndham Clark: -4 (36h)
5	Iker Urquiola	7.4%	20.0%	+7	+12	37%	Ludvig Aberg: +1 (32h) Si Woo Kim: +4 (29h) Akshay Bhatia: E (20h) Jacob Bridgeman: +1 (35h) Ryan Gerard: E (22h) Nick Taylor: +1 (22h)
6	Dave Agar	7.1%	21.3%	+8	+9	44%	Scottie Scheffler: -2 (30h) Robert MacIntyre: +7 (30h) Justin Thomas: +1 (31h) Gary Woodland: +1 (30h) Ben Griffin: -3 (31h) Brian Harman: +4 (36h)
7	Patrick Abernethy	6.5%	19.2%	+11	+10	38%	Jon Rahm: +5 (32h) Patrick Reed: -3 (20h) Akshay Bhatia: E (20h) Nicolai Hojgaard: +6 (36h) Keegan Bradley: +1 (22h) Samuel Stevens: +2 (36h)
8	Brian Moran	5.9%	17.5%	+4	+11	39%	Bryson DeChambeau: +5 (20h) Justin Rose: -4 (31h) Jason Day: -3 (22h) J.J. Spaun: +6 (33h) Max Homa: -1 (28h) Aaron Rai: +1 (35h)
9	Kenny Thornally	5.2%	18.2%	+16	+10	39%	Bryson DeChambeau: +5 (20h) Robert MacIntyre: +7 (30h) Russell Henley: +1 (19h) Corey Conners: +2 (34h) Ben Griffin: -3 (31h) Brian Harman: +4 (36h)
10	Karen Goldman	5.0%	13.5%	+1	+14	33%	Cameron Young: +1 (19h) Justin Rose: -4 (31h) Jason Day: -3 (22h) Sepp Straka: +1 (31h) Keegan Bradley: +1 (22h) Mason Howell (A): +5 (19h)
11	Steven Warner	4.2%	13.8%	+6	+13	38%	Xander Schauffele: -2 (20h) Christopher Gotterup: -2 (32h) Akshay Bhatia: E (20h) Sepp Straka: +1 (31h) Rasmus Hojgaard: +5 (25h) Brian Harman: +4 (36h)
12	Jay Warner	4.1%	14.4%	+7	+11	41%	Scottie Scheffler: -2 (30h) Robert MacIntyre: +7 (30h) Russell Henley: +1 (19h) J.J. Spaun: +6 (33h) Max Homa: -1 (28h) Wyndham Clark: -4 (36h)
13	Joe Losoya	3.0%	11.8%	+6	+14	41%	Scottie Scheffler: -2 (30h) Hideki Matsuyama: +1 (19h) Jason Day: -3 (22h) Sungjae Im: +1 (36h) Daniel Berger: +8 (36h) Aaron Rai: +1 (35h)
14	Party Pat	2.5%	12.5%	+6	+13	39%	Bryson DeChambeau: +5 (20h) Jordan Spieth: E (32h) Justin Thomas: +1 (31h) Sungjae Im: +1 (36h) Max Homa: -1 (28h) Dustin Johnson: E (21h)
15	Leah Warner	1.1%	4.9%	+8	+19	42%	Scottie Scheffler: -2 (30h) Justin Rose: -4 (31h) Jake Knapp: +1 (23h) J.J. Spaun: +6 (33h) Max Homa: -1 (28h) Michael Kim: +8 (36h)
16	Nate Hawthorne	0.9%	4.6%	+11	+17	42%	Matthew Fitzpatrick: +2 (20h) Robert MacIntyre: +7 (30h) Justin Thomas: +1 (31h) Nicolai Hojgaard: +6 (36h) Max Homa: -1 (28h) Wyndham Clark: -4 (36h)
17	James Hall	0.7%	4.7%	+4	+18	32%	Scottie Scheffler: -2 (30h) Hideki Matsuyama: +1 (19h) Russell Henley: +1 (19h) Cameron Smith: +5 (23h) Max Homa: -1 (28h) Dustin Johnson: E (21h)
18	Isayah Carrillo	0.3%	2.6%	+9	+20	38%	Scottie Scheffler: -2 (30h) Min Woo Lee: +11 (36h) Akshay Bhatia: E (20h) Sepp Straka: +1 (31h) Max Homa: -1 (28h) Dustin Johnson: E (21h)
19	Evan Jones	0.2%	1.3%	+20	+25	39%	Bryson DeChambeau: +5 (20h) Si Woo Kim: +4 (29h) Akshay Bhatia: E (20h) J.J. Spaun: +6 (33h) Ben Griffin: -3 (31h) Ethan Fang (A): +8 (36h)
20	Madison Montgomery	0.2%	1.0%	+19	+26	43%	Ludvig Aberg: +1 (32h) Min Woo Lee: +11 (36h) Akshay Bhatia: E (20h) Nicolai Hojgaard: +6 (36h) Rasmus Hojgaard: +5 (25h) Wyndham Clark: -4 (36h)
21	Brad Craft	0.1%	0.7%	+16	+28	39%	Ludvig Aberg: +1 (32h) Hideki Matsuyama: +1 (19h) Akshay Bhatia: E (20h) Jacob Bridgeman: +1 (35h) Rasmus Hojgaard: +5 (25h) Michael Kim: +8 (36h)
22	Brian Chmura	0.1%	0.6%	+11	+28	36%	Jon Rahm: +5 (32h) Hideki Matsuyama: +1 (19h) Patrick Cantlay: +5 (18h) Cameron Smith: +5 (23h) Max Homa: -1 (28h) Wyndham Clark: -4 (36h)
23	Austin Dubya, Defending Champion	0.0%	0.4%	+21	+27	40%	Cameron Young: +1 (19h) Min Woo Lee: +11 (36h) Akshay Bhatia: E (20h) Corey Conners: +2 (34h) Max Homa: -1 (28h) Michael Kim: +8 (36h)
24	Parker Rickert	0.0%	0.1%	+24	+38	42%	Ludvig Aberg: +1 (32h) Robert MacIntyre: +7 (30h) Akshay Bhatia: E (20h) J.J. Spaun: +6 (33h) Marco Penge: +2 (29h) Michael Kim: +8 (36h)
25	Dugald Poppa to 5!	0.0%	0.2%	+18	+27	41%	Scottie Scheffler: -2 (30h) Robert MacIntyre: +7 (30h) Akshay Bhatia: E (20h) J.J. Spaun: +6 (33h) Max Homa: -1 (28h) Michael Kim: +8 (36h)
26	Kevin C.	0.0%	0.0%	+21	+47	33%	Tommy Fleetwood: -1 (20h) Hideki Matsuyama: +1 (19h) Akshay Bhatia: E (20h) J.J. Spaun: +6 (33h) Rasmus Hojgaard: +5 (25h) Aldrich Potgieter: +10 (27h)
27	John Necef	0.0%	0.1%	+25	+32	47%	Scottie Scheffler: -2 (30h) Robert MacIntyre: +7 (30h) Adam Scott: +2 (36h) J.J. Spaun: +6 (33h) Daniel Berger: +8 (36h) Brian Harman: +4 (36h)
28	Whit Broders	0.0%	0.0%	+29	+39	40%	Jon Rahm: +5 (32h) Min Woo Lee: +11 (36h) Akshay Bhatia: E (20h) Corey Conners: +2 (34h) Rasmus Hojgaard: +5 (25h) Ryan Fox: +6 (26h)

Entry

Win %

Top-3 %

Live

Proj

Conf

Picks

Mike Madarasz

17.2%

39.6%

-2

39%

Scottie Scheffler: -2 (30h)
Patrick Reed: -3 (20h)
Adam Scott: +2 (36h)
Corey Conners: +2 (34h)
Max Homa: -1 (28h)
Dustin Johnson: E (21h)

Colt Agar

11.6%

29.4%

-3

36%

Rory McIlroy: -5 (19h)
Brooks Koepka: -3 (32h)
Justin Thomas: +1 (31h)
Cameron Smith: +5 (23h)
Max Homa: -1 (28h)
Dustin Johnson: E (21h)

Adam Kunes

8.5%

26.0%

39%

Scottie Scheffler: -2 (30h)
Hideki Matsuyama: +1 (19h)
Jason Day: -3 (22h)
Corey Conners: +2 (34h)
Max Homa: -1 (28h)
Brian Harman: +4 (36h)

Adam Ryan

8.1%

21.6%

+10

37%

Scottie Scheffler: -2 (30h)
Hideki Matsuyama: +1 (19h)
Patrick Cantlay: +5 (18h)
Sungjae Im: +1 (36h)
Keegan Bradley: +1 (22h)
Wyndham Clark: -4 (36h)

Iker Urquiola

7.4%

20.0%

+12

37%

Ludvig Aberg: +1 (32h)
Si Woo Kim: +4 (29h)
Akshay Bhatia: E (20h)
Jacob Bridgeman: +1 (35h)
Ryan Gerard: E (22h)
Nick Taylor: +1 (22h)

Dave Agar

7.1%

21.3%

44%

Scottie Scheffler: -2 (30h)
Robert MacIntyre: +7 (30h)
Justin Thomas: +1 (31h)
Gary Woodland: +1 (30h)
Ben Griffin: -3 (31h)
Brian Harman: +4 (36h)

Patrick Abernethy

6.5%

19.2%

+11

+10

38%

Jon Rahm: +5 (32h)
Patrick Reed: -3 (20h)
Akshay Bhatia: E (20h)
Nicolai Hojgaard: +6 (36h)
Keegan Bradley: +1 (22h)
Samuel Stevens: +2 (36h)

Brian Moran

5.9%

17.5%

+11

39%

Bryson DeChambeau: +5 (20h)
Justin Rose: -4 (31h)
Jason Day: -3 (22h)
J.J. Spaun: +6 (33h)
Max Homa: -1 (28h)
Aaron Rai: +1 (35h)

Kenny Thornally

5.2%

18.2%

+16

+10

39%

Bryson DeChambeau: +5 (20h)
Robert MacIntyre: +7 (30h)
Russell Henley: +1 (19h)
Corey Conners: +2 (34h)
Ben Griffin: -3 (31h)
Brian Harman: +4 (36h)

Karen Goldman

5.0%

13.5%

+14

33%

Cameron Young: +1 (19h)
Justin Rose: -4 (31h)
Jason Day: -3 (22h)
Sepp Straka: +1 (31h)
Keegan Bradley: +1 (22h)
Mason Howell (A): +5 (19h)

Steven Warner

4.2%

13.8%

+13

38%

Xander Schauffele: -2 (20h)
Christopher Gotterup: -2 (32h)
Akshay Bhatia: E (20h)
Sepp Straka: +1 (31h)
Rasmus Hojgaard: +5 (25h)
Brian Harman: +4 (36h)

Jay Warner

4.1%

14.4%

+11

41%

Scottie Scheffler: -2 (30h)
Robert MacIntyre: +7 (30h)
Russell Henley: +1 (19h)
J.J. Spaun: +6 (33h)
Max Homa: -1 (28h)
Wyndham Clark: -4 (36h)

Joe Losoya

3.0%

11.8%

+14

41%

Scottie Scheffler: -2 (30h)
Hideki Matsuyama: +1 (19h)
Jason Day: -3 (22h)
Sungjae Im: +1 (36h)
Daniel Berger: +8 (36h)
Aaron Rai: +1 (35h)

Party Pat

2.5%

12.5%

+13

39%

Bryson DeChambeau: +5 (20h)
Jordan Spieth: E (32h)
Justin Thomas: +1 (31h)
Sungjae Im: +1 (36h)
Max Homa: -1 (28h)
Dustin Johnson: E (21h)

Leah Warner

1.1%

4.9%

+19

42%

Scottie Scheffler: -2 (30h)
Justin Rose: -4 (31h)
Jake Knapp: +1 (23h)
J.J. Spaun: +6 (33h)
Max Homa: -1 (28h)
Michael Kim: +8 (36h)

Nate Hawthorne

0.9%

4.6%

+11

+17

42%

Matthew Fitzpatrick: +2 (20h)
Robert MacIntyre: +7 (30h)
Justin Thomas: +1 (31h)
Nicolai Hojgaard: +6 (36h)
Max Homa: -1 (28h)
Wyndham Clark: -4 (36h)

James Hall

0.7%

4.7%

+18

32%

Scottie Scheffler: -2 (30h)
Hideki Matsuyama: +1 (19h)
Russell Henley: +1 (19h)
Cameron Smith: +5 (23h)
Max Homa: -1 (28h)
Dustin Johnson: E (21h)

Isayah Carrillo

0.3%

2.6%

+20

38%

Scottie Scheffler: -2 (30h)
Min Woo Lee: +11 (36h)
Akshay Bhatia: E (20h)
Sepp Straka: +1 (31h)
Max Homa: -1 (28h)
Dustin Johnson: E (21h)

Evan Jones

0.2%

1.3%

+20

+25

39%

Bryson DeChambeau: +5 (20h)
Si Woo Kim: +4 (29h)
Akshay Bhatia: E (20h)
J.J. Spaun: +6 (33h)
Ben Griffin: -3 (31h)
Ethan Fang (A): +8 (36h)

Madison Montgomery

0.2%

1.0%

+19

+26

43%

Ludvig Aberg: +1 (32h)
Min Woo Lee: +11 (36h)
Akshay Bhatia: E (20h)
Nicolai Hojgaard: +6 (36h)
Rasmus Hojgaard: +5 (25h)
Wyndham Clark: -4 (36h)

Brad Craft

0.1%

0.7%

+16

+28

39%

Ludvig Aberg: +1 (32h)
Hideki Matsuyama: +1 (19h)
Akshay Bhatia: E (20h)
Jacob Bridgeman: +1 (35h)
Rasmus Hojgaard: +5 (25h)
Michael Kim: +8 (36h)

Brian Chmura

0.1%

0.6%

+11

+28

36%

Jon Rahm: +5 (32h)
Hideki Matsuyama: +1 (19h)
Patrick Cantlay: +5 (18h)
Cameron Smith: +5 (23h)
Max Homa: -1 (28h)
Wyndham Clark: -4 (36h)

Austin Dubya, Defending Champion

0.0%

0.4%

+21

+27

40%

Cameron Young: +1 (19h)
Min Woo Lee: +11 (36h)
Akshay Bhatia: E (20h)
Corey Conners: +2 (34h)
Max Homa: -1 (28h)
Michael Kim: +8 (36h)

Parker Rickert

0.0%

0.1%

+24

+38

42%

Ludvig Aberg: +1 (32h)
Robert MacIntyre: +7 (30h)
Akshay Bhatia: E (20h)
J.J. Spaun: +6 (33h)
Marco Penge: +2 (29h)
Michael Kim: +8 (36h)

Dugald Poppa to 5!

0.0%

0.2%

+18

+27

41%

Scottie Scheffler: -2 (30h)
Robert MacIntyre: +7 (30h)
Akshay Bhatia: E (20h)
J.J. Spaun: +6 (33h)
Max Homa: -1 (28h)
Michael Kim: +8 (36h)

Kevin C.

0.0%

+21

+47

33%

Tommy Fleetwood: -1 (20h)
Hideki Matsuyama: +1 (19h)
Akshay Bhatia: E (20h)
J.J. Spaun: +6 (33h)
Rasmus Hojgaard: +5 (25h)
Aldrich Potgieter: +10 (27h)

John Necef

0.0%

0.1%

+25

+32

47%

Scottie Scheffler: -2 (30h)
Robert MacIntyre: +7 (30h)
Adam Scott: +2 (36h)
J.J. Spaun: +6 (33h)
Daniel Berger: +8 (36h)
Brian Harman: +4 (36h)

Whit Broders

0.0%

+29

+39

40%

Jon Rahm: +5 (32h)
Min Woo Lee: +11 (36h)
Akshay Bhatia: E (20h)
Corey Conners: +2 (34h)
Rasmus Hojgaard: +5 (25h)
Ryan Fox: +6 (26h)

Conf = avg completion % across the entry's 6 picks. Low-confidence rows (<15%) are priors, not predictions. Proj = mean simulated 72-hole aggregate vs. par. ML ensemble + Bayesian shrinkage + wave bias + tiebreaker.