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The Masters · Pool Live

Augusta National · 2026

2026-04-17 17:13 EDT · 20,000 sims · field completion 49% · wave bias +0.00 · auto-refresh 2m

#	Entry	Win %	Top-3 %	Live	Proj	Conf	Picks
1	Kenny Thornally	57.4%	85.6%	-31	-44	42%	Bryson DeChambeau: ? Robert MacIntyre: -8 (36h) Russell Henley: -6 (36h) Corey Conners: -6 (36h) Ben Griffin: -6 (36h) Brian Harman: -5 (36h)
2	Jay Warner	9.7%	40.6%	-33	-32	50%	Scottie Scheffler: -7 (36h) Robert MacIntyre: -8 (36h) Russell Henley: -6 (36h) J.J. Spaun: -4 (36h) Max Homa: -2 (36h) Wyndham Clark: -6 (36h)
3	Adam Ryan	8.3%	28.5%	-34	-28	42%	Scottie Scheffler: -7 (36h) Hideki Matsuyama: ? Patrick Cantlay: -9 (36h) Sungjae Im: -4 (36h) Keegan Bradley: -8 (36h) Wyndham Clark: -6 (36h)
4	Patrick Abernethy	5.3%	20.3%	-18	-26	33%	Jon Rahm: ? Patrick Reed: ? Akshay Bhatia: -6 (36h) Nicolai Hojgaard: -1 (36h) Keegan Bradley: -8 (36h) Samuel Stevens: -3 (36h)
5	Iker Urquiola	3.9%	19.9%	-24	-27	49%	Ludvig Aberg: -8 (33h) Si Woo Kim: -8 (36h) Akshay Bhatia: -6 (36h) Jacob Bridgeman: -2 (36h) Ryan Gerard: +3 (36h) Nick Taylor: -3 (36h)
6	Evan Jones	3.4%	20.2%	-24	-26	33%	Bryson DeChambeau: ? Si Woo Kim: -8 (36h) Akshay Bhatia: -6 (36h) J.J. Spaun: -4 (36h) Ben Griffin: -6 (36h) Ethan Fang (A): ?
7	Karen Goldman	2.3%	10.7%	-19	-21	32%	Cameron Young: -2 (32h) Justin Rose: ? Jason Day: E (36h) Sepp Straka: -9 (35h) Keegan Bradley: -8 (36h) Mason Howell (A): ?
8	Dave Agar	1.8%	18.8%	-25	-26	49%	Scottie Scheffler: -7 (36h) Robert MacIntyre: -8 (36h) Justin Thomas: +8 (33h) Gary Woodland: -7 (35h) Ben Griffin: -6 (36h) Brian Harman: -5 (36h)
9	Isayah Carrillo	1.3%	6.2%	-26	-19	41%	Scottie Scheffler: -7 (36h) Min Woo Lee: -2 (36h) Akshay Bhatia: -6 (36h) Sepp Straka: -9 (35h) Max Homa: -2 (36h) Dustin Johnson: ?
10	Steven Warner	1.0%	7.8%	-26	-20	41%	Xander Schauffele: -5 (36h) Christopher Gotterup: -1 (34h) Akshay Bhatia: -6 (36h) Sepp Straka: -9 (35h) Rasmus Hojgaard: ? Brian Harman: -5 (36h)
11	John Necef	1.0%	6.8%	-26	-19	42%	Scottie Scheffler: -7 (36h) Robert MacIntyre: -8 (36h) Adam Scott: ? J.J. Spaun: -4 (36h) Daniel Berger: -2 (36h) Brian Harman: -5 (36h)
12	Dugald Poppa to 5!	0.9%	8.8%	-27	-24	50%	Scottie Scheffler: -7 (36h) Robert MacIntyre: -8 (36h) Akshay Bhatia: -6 (36h) J.J. Spaun: -4 (36h) Max Homa: -2 (36h) Michael Kim: E (36h)
13	Madison Montgomery	0.9%	5.2%	-23	-18	41%	Ludvig Aberg: -8 (33h) Min Woo Lee: -2 (36h) Akshay Bhatia: -6 (36h) Nicolai Hojgaard: -1 (36h) Rasmus Hojgaard: ? Wyndham Clark: -6 (36h)
14	Whit Broders	0.8%	5.0%	-19	-17	33%	Jon Rahm: ? Min Woo Lee: -2 (36h) Akshay Bhatia: -6 (36h) Corey Conners: -6 (36h) Rasmus Hojgaard: ? Ryan Fox: -5 (36h)
15	Parker Rickert	0.7%	3.9%	-24	-16	48%	Ludvig Aberg: -8 (33h) Robert MacIntyre: -8 (36h) Akshay Bhatia: -6 (36h) J.J. Spaun: -4 (36h) Marco Penge: +2 (31h) Michael Kim: E (36h)
16	Nate Hawthorne	0.6%	5.0%	-23	-20	49%	Matthew Fitzpatrick: -14 (36h) Robert MacIntyre: -8 (36h) Justin Thomas: +8 (33h) Nicolai Hojgaard: -1 (36h) Max Homa: -2 (36h) Wyndham Clark: -6 (36h)
17	Austin Dubya, Defending Champion	0.3%	2.1%	-18	-17	49%	Cameron Young: -2 (32h) Min Woo Lee: -2 (36h) Akshay Bhatia: -6 (36h) Corey Conners: -6 (36h) Max Homa: -2 (36h) Michael Kim: E (36h)
18	Adam Kunes	0.2%	2.0%	-20	-14	42%	Scottie Scheffler: -7 (36h) Hideki Matsuyama: ? Jason Day: E (36h) Corey Conners: -6 (36h) Max Homa: -2 (36h) Brian Harman: -5 (36h)
19	Mike Madarasz	<0.1%	0.7%	-15	-5	25%	Scottie Scheffler: -7 (36h) Patrick Reed: ? Adam Scott: ? Corey Conners: -6 (36h) Max Homa: -2 (36h) Dustin Johnson: ?
20	Brian Chmura	<0.1%	0.6%	-17	-4	25%	Jon Rahm: ? Hideki Matsuyama: ? Patrick Cantlay: -9 (36h) Cameron Smith: ? Max Homa: -2 (36h) Wyndham Clark: -6 (36h)
21	Joe Losoya	<0.1%	0.5%	-13	-4	33%	Scottie Scheffler: -7 (36h) Hideki Matsuyama: ? Jason Day: E (36h) Sungjae Im: -4 (36h) Daniel Berger: -2 (36h) Aaron Rai: ?
22	Brian Moran	<0.1%	0.4%	-6	-5	25%	Bryson DeChambeau: ? Justin Rose: ? Jason Day: E (36h) J.J. Spaun: -4 (36h) Max Homa: -2 (36h) Aaron Rai: ?
23	Brad Craft	<0.1%	0.2%	-16	-3	33%	Ludvig Aberg: -8 (33h) Hideki Matsuyama: ? Akshay Bhatia: -6 (36h) Jacob Bridgeman: -2 (36h) Rasmus Hojgaard: ? Michael Kim: E (36h)
24	Leah Warner	<0.1%	0.1%	-9	-2	42%	Scottie Scheffler: -7 (36h) Justin Rose: ? Jake Knapp: +4 (36h) J.J. Spaun: -4 (36h) Max Homa: -2 (36h) Michael Kim: E (36h)
25	Kevin C.	<0.1%	0.1%	-17	0	33%	Tommy Fleetwood: +1 (36h) Hideki Matsuyama: ? Akshay Bhatia: -6 (36h) J.J. Spaun: -4 (36h) Rasmus Hojgaard: ? Aldrich Potgieter: -8 (36h)
26	James Hall	<0.1%	0.1%	-15	+2	25%	Scottie Scheffler: -7 (36h) Hideki Matsuyama: ? Russell Henley: -6 (36h) Cameron Smith: ? Max Homa: -2 (36h) Dustin Johnson: ?
27	Party Pat	0.0%	0.0%	+2	+5	32%	Bryson DeChambeau: ? Jordan Spieth: E (33h) Justin Thomas: +8 (33h) Sungjae Im: -4 (36h) Max Homa: -2 (36h) Dustin Johnson: ?
28	Colt Agar	0.0%	0.0%	+6	+16	16%	Rory McIlroy: ? Brooks Koepka: ? Justin Thomas: +8 (33h) Cameron Smith: ? Max Homa: -2 (36h) Dustin Johnson: ?

Entry

Win %

Top-3 %

Live

Proj

Conf

Picks

Kenny Thornally

57.4%

85.6%

-31

-44

42%

Bryson DeChambeau: ?
Robert MacIntyre: -8 (36h)
Russell Henley: -6 (36h)
Corey Conners: -6 (36h)
Ben Griffin: -6 (36h)
Brian Harman: -5 (36h)

Jay Warner

9.7%

40.6%

-33

-32

50%

Scottie Scheffler: -7 (36h)
Robert MacIntyre: -8 (36h)
Russell Henley: -6 (36h)
J.J. Spaun: -4 (36h)
Max Homa: -2 (36h)
Wyndham Clark: -6 (36h)

Adam Ryan

8.3%

28.5%

-34

-28

42%

Scottie Scheffler: -7 (36h)
Hideki Matsuyama: ?
Patrick Cantlay: -9 (36h)
Sungjae Im: -4 (36h)
Keegan Bradley: -8 (36h)
Wyndham Clark: -6 (36h)

Patrick Abernethy

5.3%

20.3%

-18

-26

33%

Jon Rahm: ?
Patrick Reed: ?
Akshay Bhatia: -6 (36h)
Nicolai Hojgaard: -1 (36h)
Keegan Bradley: -8 (36h)
Samuel Stevens: -3 (36h)

Iker Urquiola

3.9%

19.9%

-24

-27

49%

Ludvig Aberg: -8 (33h)
Si Woo Kim: -8 (36h)
Akshay Bhatia: -6 (36h)
Jacob Bridgeman: -2 (36h)
Ryan Gerard: +3 (36h)
Nick Taylor: -3 (36h)

Evan Jones

3.4%

20.2%

-24

-26

33%

Bryson DeChambeau: ?
Si Woo Kim: -8 (36h)
Akshay Bhatia: -6 (36h)
J.J. Spaun: -4 (36h)
Ben Griffin: -6 (36h)
Ethan Fang (A): ?

Karen Goldman

2.3%

10.7%

-19

-21

32%

Cameron Young: -2 (32h)
Justin Rose: ?
Jason Day: E (36h)
Sepp Straka: -9 (35h)
Keegan Bradley: -8 (36h)
Mason Howell (A): ?

Dave Agar

1.8%

18.8%

-25

-26

49%

Scottie Scheffler: -7 (36h)
Robert MacIntyre: -8 (36h)
Justin Thomas: +8 (33h)
Gary Woodland: -7 (35h)
Ben Griffin: -6 (36h)
Brian Harman: -5 (36h)

Isayah Carrillo

1.3%

6.2%

-26

-19

41%

Scottie Scheffler: -7 (36h)
Min Woo Lee: -2 (36h)
Akshay Bhatia: -6 (36h)
Sepp Straka: -9 (35h)
Max Homa: -2 (36h)
Dustin Johnson: ?

Steven Warner

1.0%

7.8%

-26

-20

41%

Xander Schauffele: -5 (36h)
Christopher Gotterup: -1 (34h)
Akshay Bhatia: -6 (36h)
Sepp Straka: -9 (35h)
Rasmus Hojgaard: ?
Brian Harman: -5 (36h)

John Necef

1.0%

6.8%

-26

-19

42%

Scottie Scheffler: -7 (36h)
Robert MacIntyre: -8 (36h)
Adam Scott: ?
J.J. Spaun: -4 (36h)
Daniel Berger: -2 (36h)
Brian Harman: -5 (36h)

Dugald Poppa to 5!

0.9%

8.8%

-27

-24

50%

Scottie Scheffler: -7 (36h)
Robert MacIntyre: -8 (36h)
Akshay Bhatia: -6 (36h)
J.J. Spaun: -4 (36h)
Max Homa: -2 (36h)
Michael Kim: E (36h)

Madison Montgomery

0.9%

5.2%

-23

-18

41%

Ludvig Aberg: -8 (33h)
Min Woo Lee: -2 (36h)
Akshay Bhatia: -6 (36h)
Nicolai Hojgaard: -1 (36h)
Rasmus Hojgaard: ?
Wyndham Clark: -6 (36h)

Whit Broders

0.8%

5.0%

-19

-17

33%

Jon Rahm: ?
Min Woo Lee: -2 (36h)
Akshay Bhatia: -6 (36h)
Corey Conners: -6 (36h)
Rasmus Hojgaard: ?
Ryan Fox: -5 (36h)

Parker Rickert

0.7%

3.9%

-24

-16

48%

Ludvig Aberg: -8 (33h)
Robert MacIntyre: -8 (36h)
Akshay Bhatia: -6 (36h)
J.J. Spaun: -4 (36h)
Marco Penge: +2 (31h)
Michael Kim: E (36h)

Nate Hawthorne

0.6%

5.0%

-23

-20

49%

Matthew Fitzpatrick: -14 (36h)
Robert MacIntyre: -8 (36h)
Justin Thomas: +8 (33h)
Nicolai Hojgaard: -1 (36h)
Max Homa: -2 (36h)
Wyndham Clark: -6 (36h)

Austin Dubya, Defending Champion

0.3%

2.1%

-18

-17

49%

Cameron Young: -2 (32h)
Min Woo Lee: -2 (36h)
Akshay Bhatia: -6 (36h)
Corey Conners: -6 (36h)
Max Homa: -2 (36h)
Michael Kim: E (36h)

Adam Kunes

0.2%

2.0%

-20

-14

42%

Scottie Scheffler: -7 (36h)
Hideki Matsuyama: ?
Jason Day: E (36h)
Corey Conners: -6 (36h)
Max Homa: -2 (36h)
Brian Harman: -5 (36h)

Mike Madarasz

<0.1%

0.7%

-15

-5

25%

Scottie Scheffler: -7 (36h)
Patrick Reed: ?
Adam Scott: ?
Corey Conners: -6 (36h)
Max Homa: -2 (36h)
Dustin Johnson: ?

Brian Chmura

<0.1%

0.6%

-17

-4

25%

Jon Rahm: ?
Hideki Matsuyama: ?
Patrick Cantlay: -9 (36h)
Cameron Smith: ?
Max Homa: -2 (36h)
Wyndham Clark: -6 (36h)

Joe Losoya

<0.1%

0.5%

-13

-4

33%

Scottie Scheffler: -7 (36h)
Hideki Matsuyama: ?
Jason Day: E (36h)
Sungjae Im: -4 (36h)
Daniel Berger: -2 (36h)
Aaron Rai: ?

Brian Moran

<0.1%

0.4%

-6

-5

25%

Bryson DeChambeau: ?
Justin Rose: ?
Jason Day: E (36h)
J.J. Spaun: -4 (36h)
Max Homa: -2 (36h)
Aaron Rai: ?

Brad Craft

<0.1%

0.2%

-16

-3

33%

Ludvig Aberg: -8 (33h)
Hideki Matsuyama: ?
Akshay Bhatia: -6 (36h)
Jacob Bridgeman: -2 (36h)
Rasmus Hojgaard: ?
Michael Kim: E (36h)

Leah Warner

<0.1%

0.1%

-9

-2

42%

Scottie Scheffler: -7 (36h)
Justin Rose: ?
Jake Knapp: +4 (36h)
J.J. Spaun: -4 (36h)
Max Homa: -2 (36h)
Michael Kim: E (36h)

Kevin C.

<0.1%

0.1%

-17

33%

Tommy Fleetwood: +1 (36h)
Hideki Matsuyama: ?
Akshay Bhatia: -6 (36h)
J.J. Spaun: -4 (36h)
Rasmus Hojgaard: ?
Aldrich Potgieter: -8 (36h)

James Hall

<0.1%

0.1%

-15

25%

Scottie Scheffler: -7 (36h)
Hideki Matsuyama: ?
Russell Henley: -6 (36h)
Cameron Smith: ?
Max Homa: -2 (36h)
Dustin Johnson: ?

Party Pat

0.0%

32%

Bryson DeChambeau: ?
Jordan Spieth: E (33h)
Justin Thomas: +8 (33h)
Sungjae Im: -4 (36h)
Max Homa: -2 (36h)
Dustin Johnson: ?

Colt Agar

0.0%

+16

16%

Rory McIlroy: ?
Brooks Koepka: ?
Justin Thomas: +8 (33h)
Cameron Smith: ?
Max Homa: -2 (36h)
Dustin Johnson: ?

Conf = avg completion % across the entry's 6 picks. Low-confidence rows (<15%) are priors, not predictions. Proj = mean simulated 72-hole aggregate vs. par. ML ensemble + Bayesian shrinkage + wave bias + tiebreaker.