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The Masters · Pool Live

Augusta National · 2026

2026-04-12 13:24 EDT · 20,000 sims · field completion 61% · wave bias +0.00 · auto-refresh 2m

#	Entry	Win %	Top-3 %	Live	Proj	Conf	Picks
1	Adam Ryan	57.3%	89.9%	-22	-21	83%	Scottie Scheffler: -7 (54h) Hideki Matsuyama: -3 (62h) Patrick Cantlay: -6 (54h) Sungjae Im: E (62h) Keegan Bradley: -2 (70h) Wyndham Clark: -4 (56h)
2	Mike Madarasz	16.5%	69.8%	-15	-16	86%	Scottie Scheffler: -7 (54h) Patrick Reed: -6 (54h) Adam Scott: -2 (65h) Corey Conners: +4 (68h) Max Homa: -4 (60h) Dustin Johnson: E (70h)
3	Adam Kunes	16.3%	74.4%	-17	-17	84%	Scottie Scheffler: -7 (54h) Hideki Matsuyama: -3 (62h) Jason Day: -8 (54h) Corey Conners: +4 (68h) Max Homa: -4 (60h) Brian Harman: +1 (63h)
4	Karen Goldman	3.2%	14.9%	-20	-7	72%	Cameron Young: -11 (54h) Justin Rose: -8 (54h) Jason Day: -8 (54h) Sepp Straka: E (62h) Keegan Bradley: -2 (70h) Mason Howell (A): +9 (18h)
5	James Hall	2.5%	18.1%	-13	-9	74%	Scottie Scheffler: -7 (54h) Hideki Matsuyama: -3 (62h) Russell Henley: -6 (54h) Cameron Smith: +7 (18h) Max Homa: -4 (60h) Dustin Johnson: E (70h)
6	Jay Warner	1.5%	8.9%	-9	-3	60%	Scottie Scheffler: -7 (54h) Robert MacIntyre: +7 (18h) Russell Henley: -6 (54h) J.J. Spaun: +5 (18h) Max Homa: -4 (60h) Wyndham Clark: -4 (56h)
7	Colt Agar	1.4%	8.1%	-9	-5	75%	Rory McIlroy: -11 (54h) Brooks Koepka: -5 (57h) Justin Thomas: +4 (67h) Cameron Smith: +7 (18h) Max Homa: -4 (60h) Dustin Johnson: E (70h)
8	Brian Moran	0.7%	3.4%	-4	0	64%	Bryson DeChambeau: +6 (18h) Justin Rose: -8 (54h) Jason Day: -8 (54h) J.J. Spaun: +5 (18h) Max Homa: -4 (60h) Aaron Rai: +5 (72h)
9	Leah Warner	0.2%	1.0%	-12	+8	60%	Scottie Scheffler: -7 (54h) Justin Rose: -8 (54h) Jake Knapp: -6 (55h) J.J. Spaun: +5 (18h) Max Homa: -4 (60h) Michael Kim: +8 (18h)
10	Iker Urquiola	0.2%	2.0%	-2	+1	75%	Ludvig Aberg: -6 (58h) Si Woo Kim: +4 (70h) Akshay Bhatia: +6 (18h) Jacob Bridgeman: +1 (61h) Ryan Gerard: -5 (56h) Nick Taylor: -2 (59h)
11	Kenny Thornally	0.1%	1.5%	+7	+1	64%	Bryson DeChambeau: +6 (18h) Robert MacIntyre: +7 (18h) Russell Henley: -6 (54h) Corey Conners: +4 (68h) Ben Griffin: -5 (55h) Brian Harman: +1 (63h)
12	Dave Agar	<0.1%	2.1%	E	-2	76%	Scottie Scheffler: -7 (54h) Robert MacIntyre: +7 (18h) Justin Thomas: +4 (67h) Gary Woodland: E (72h) Ben Griffin: -5 (55h) Brian Harman: +1 (63h)
13	Joe Losoya	<0.1%	2.0%	-5	0	75%	Scottie Scheffler: -7 (54h) Hideki Matsuyama: -3 (62h) Jason Day: -8 (54h) Sungjae Im: E (62h) Daniel Berger: +8 (18h) Aaron Rai: +5 (72h)
14	Brian Chmura	<0.1%	2.6%	-10	-2	74%	Jon Rahm: E (71h) Hideki Matsuyama: -3 (62h) Patrick Cantlay: -6 (54h) Cameron Smith: +7 (18h) Max Homa: -4 (60h) Wyndham Clark: -4 (56h)
15	Patrick Abernethy	<0.1%	0.5%	+4	+6	68%	Jon Rahm: E (71h) Patrick Reed: -6 (54h) Akshay Bhatia: +6 (18h) Nicolai Hojgaard: +6 (18h) Keegan Bradley: -2 (70h) Samuel Stevens: E (64h)
16	Party Pat	<0.1%	0.4%	+4	+0	79%	Bryson DeChambeau: +6 (18h) Jordan Spieth: -2 (63h) Justin Thomas: +4 (67h) Sungjae Im: E (62h) Max Homa: -4 (60h) Dustin Johnson: E (70h)
17	Isayah Carrillo	<0.1%	0.0%	+6	+11	65%	Scottie Scheffler: -7 (54h) Min Woo Lee: +11 (18h) Akshay Bhatia: +6 (18h) Sepp Straka: E (62h) Max Homa: -4 (60h) Dustin Johnson: E (70h)
18	Nate Hawthorne	0.0%	0.1%	+8	+7	64%	Matthew Fitzpatrick: -1 (59h) Robert MacIntyre: +7 (18h) Justin Thomas: +4 (67h) Nicolai Hojgaard: +6 (18h) Max Homa: -4 (60h) Wyndham Clark: -4 (56h)
19	Steven Warner	0.0%	0.0%	+10	+14	76%	Xander Schauffele: -4 (55h) Christopher Gotterup: -3 (61h) Akshay Bhatia: +6 (18h) Sepp Straka: E (62h) Rasmus Hojgaard: +10 (70h) Brian Harman: +1 (63h)
20	John Necef	0.0%	0.0%	+12	+21	55%	Scottie Scheffler: -7 (54h) Robert MacIntyre: +7 (18h) Adam Scott: -2 (65h) J.J. Spaun: +5 (18h) Daniel Berger: +8 (18h) Brian Harman: +1 (63h)
21	Madison Montgomery	0.0%	0.0%	+23	+27	55%	Ludvig Aberg: -6 (58h) Min Woo Lee: +11 (18h) Akshay Bhatia: +6 (18h) Nicolai Hojgaard: +6 (18h) Rasmus Hojgaard: +10 (70h) Wyndham Clark: -4 (56h)
22	Austin Dubya, Defending Champion	0.0%	0.0%	+14	+33	55%	Cameron Young: -11 (54h) Min Woo Lee: +11 (18h) Akshay Bhatia: +6 (18h) Corey Conners: +4 (68h) Max Homa: -4 (60h) Michael Kim: +8 (18h)
23	Brad Craft	0.0%	0.0%	+16	+33	66%	Ludvig Aberg: -6 (58h) Hideki Matsuyama: -3 (62h) Akshay Bhatia: +6 (18h) Jacob Bridgeman: +1 (61h) Rasmus Hojgaard: +10 (70h) Michael Kim: +8 (18h)
24	Dugald Poppa to 5!	0.0%	0.0%	+15	+38	43%	Scottie Scheffler: -7 (54h) Robert MacIntyre: +7 (18h) Akshay Bhatia: +6 (18h) J.J. Spaun: +5 (18h) Max Homa: -4 (60h) Michael Kim: +8 (18h)
25	Evan Jones	0.0%	0.0%	+24	+46	46%	Bryson DeChambeau: +6 (18h) Si Woo Kim: +4 (70h) Akshay Bhatia: +6 (18h) J.J. Spaun: +5 (18h) Ben Griffin: -5 (55h) Ethan Fang (A): +8 (18h)
26	Parker Rickert	0.0%	0.0%	+23	+46	45%	Ludvig Aberg: -6 (58h) Robert MacIntyre: +7 (18h) Akshay Bhatia: +6 (18h) J.J. Spaun: +5 (18h) Marco Penge: +3 (65h) Michael Kim: +8 (18h)
27	Whit Broders	0.0%	0.0%	+36	+48	61%	Jon Rahm: E (71h) Min Woo Lee: +11 (18h) Akshay Bhatia: +6 (18h) Corey Conners: +4 (68h) Rasmus Hojgaard: +10 (70h) Ryan Fox: +5 (18h)
28	Kevin C.	0.0%	0.0%	+30	+56	56%	Tommy Fleetwood: -3 (57h) Hideki Matsuyama: -3 (62h) Akshay Bhatia: +6 (18h) J.J. Spaun: +5 (18h) Rasmus Hojgaard: +10 (70h) Aldrich Potgieter: +15 (18h)

Entry

Win %

Top-3 %

Live

Proj

Conf

Picks

Adam Ryan

57.3%

89.9%

-22

-21

83%

Scottie Scheffler: -7 (54h)
Hideki Matsuyama: -3 (62h)
Patrick Cantlay: -6 (54h)
Sungjae Im: E (62h)
Keegan Bradley: -2 (70h)
Wyndham Clark: -4 (56h)

Mike Madarasz

16.5%

69.8%

-15

-16

86%

Scottie Scheffler: -7 (54h)
Patrick Reed: -6 (54h)
Adam Scott: -2 (65h)
Corey Conners: +4 (68h)
Max Homa: -4 (60h)
Dustin Johnson: E (70h)

Adam Kunes

16.3%

74.4%

-17

84%

Scottie Scheffler: -7 (54h)
Hideki Matsuyama: -3 (62h)
Jason Day: -8 (54h)
Corey Conners: +4 (68h)
Max Homa: -4 (60h)
Brian Harman: +1 (63h)

Karen Goldman

3.2%

14.9%

-20

-7

72%

Cameron Young: -11 (54h)
Justin Rose: -8 (54h)
Jason Day: -8 (54h)
Sepp Straka: E (62h)
Keegan Bradley: -2 (70h)
Mason Howell (A): +9 (18h)

James Hall

2.5%

18.1%

-13

-9

74%

Scottie Scheffler: -7 (54h)
Hideki Matsuyama: -3 (62h)
Russell Henley: -6 (54h)
Cameron Smith: +7 (18h)
Max Homa: -4 (60h)
Dustin Johnson: E (70h)

Jay Warner

1.5%

8.9%

-9

-3

60%

Scottie Scheffler: -7 (54h)
Robert MacIntyre: +7 (18h)
Russell Henley: -6 (54h)
J.J. Spaun: +5 (18h)
Max Homa: -4 (60h)
Wyndham Clark: -4 (56h)

Colt Agar

1.4%

8.1%

-9

-5

75%

Rory McIlroy: -11 (54h)
Brooks Koepka: -5 (57h)
Justin Thomas: +4 (67h)
Cameron Smith: +7 (18h)
Max Homa: -4 (60h)
Dustin Johnson: E (70h)

Brian Moran

0.7%

3.4%

-4

64%

Bryson DeChambeau: +6 (18h)
Justin Rose: -8 (54h)
Jason Day: -8 (54h)
J.J. Spaun: +5 (18h)
Max Homa: -4 (60h)
Aaron Rai: +5 (72h)

Leah Warner

0.2%

1.0%

-12

60%

Scottie Scheffler: -7 (54h)
Justin Rose: -8 (54h)
Jake Knapp: -6 (55h)
J.J. Spaun: +5 (18h)
Max Homa: -4 (60h)
Michael Kim: +8 (18h)

Iker Urquiola

0.2%

2.0%

-2

75%

Ludvig Aberg: -6 (58h)
Si Woo Kim: +4 (70h)
Akshay Bhatia: +6 (18h)
Jacob Bridgeman: +1 (61h)
Ryan Gerard: -5 (56h)
Nick Taylor: -2 (59h)

Kenny Thornally

0.1%

1.5%

64%

Bryson DeChambeau: +6 (18h)
Robert MacIntyre: +7 (18h)
Russell Henley: -6 (54h)
Corey Conners: +4 (68h)
Ben Griffin: -5 (55h)
Brian Harman: +1 (63h)

Dave Agar

<0.1%

2.1%

-2

76%

Scottie Scheffler: -7 (54h)
Robert MacIntyre: +7 (18h)
Justin Thomas: +4 (67h)
Gary Woodland: E (72h)
Ben Griffin: -5 (55h)
Brian Harman: +1 (63h)

Joe Losoya

<0.1%

2.0%

-5

75%

Scottie Scheffler: -7 (54h)
Hideki Matsuyama: -3 (62h)
Jason Day: -8 (54h)
Sungjae Im: E (62h)
Daniel Berger: +8 (18h)
Aaron Rai: +5 (72h)

Brian Chmura

<0.1%

2.6%

-10

-2

74%

Jon Rahm: E (71h)
Hideki Matsuyama: -3 (62h)
Patrick Cantlay: -6 (54h)
Cameron Smith: +7 (18h)
Max Homa: -4 (60h)
Wyndham Clark: -4 (56h)

Patrick Abernethy

<0.1%

0.5%

68%

Jon Rahm: E (71h)
Patrick Reed: -6 (54h)
Akshay Bhatia: +6 (18h)
Nicolai Hojgaard: +6 (18h)
Keegan Bradley: -2 (70h)
Samuel Stevens: E (64h)

Party Pat

<0.1%

0.4%

79%

Bryson DeChambeau: +6 (18h)
Jordan Spieth: -2 (63h)
Justin Thomas: +4 (67h)
Sungjae Im: E (62h)
Max Homa: -4 (60h)
Dustin Johnson: E (70h)

Isayah Carrillo

<0.1%

0.0%

+11

65%

Scottie Scheffler: -7 (54h)
Min Woo Lee: +11 (18h)
Akshay Bhatia: +6 (18h)
Sepp Straka: E (62h)
Max Homa: -4 (60h)
Dustin Johnson: E (70h)

Nate Hawthorne

0.0%

0.1%

64%

Matthew Fitzpatrick: -1 (59h)
Robert MacIntyre: +7 (18h)
Justin Thomas: +4 (67h)
Nicolai Hojgaard: +6 (18h)
Max Homa: -4 (60h)
Wyndham Clark: -4 (56h)

Steven Warner

0.0%

+10

+14

76%

Xander Schauffele: -4 (55h)
Christopher Gotterup: -3 (61h)
Akshay Bhatia: +6 (18h)
Sepp Straka: E (62h)
Rasmus Hojgaard: +10 (70h)
Brian Harman: +1 (63h)

John Necef

0.0%

+12

+21

55%

Scottie Scheffler: -7 (54h)
Robert MacIntyre: +7 (18h)
Adam Scott: -2 (65h)
J.J. Spaun: +5 (18h)
Daniel Berger: +8 (18h)
Brian Harman: +1 (63h)

Madison Montgomery

0.0%

+23

+27

55%

Ludvig Aberg: -6 (58h)
Min Woo Lee: +11 (18h)
Akshay Bhatia: +6 (18h)
Nicolai Hojgaard: +6 (18h)
Rasmus Hojgaard: +10 (70h)
Wyndham Clark: -4 (56h)

Austin Dubya, Defending Champion

0.0%

+14

+33

55%

Cameron Young: -11 (54h)
Min Woo Lee: +11 (18h)
Akshay Bhatia: +6 (18h)
Corey Conners: +4 (68h)
Max Homa: -4 (60h)
Michael Kim: +8 (18h)

Brad Craft

0.0%

+16

+33

66%

Ludvig Aberg: -6 (58h)
Hideki Matsuyama: -3 (62h)
Akshay Bhatia: +6 (18h)
Jacob Bridgeman: +1 (61h)
Rasmus Hojgaard: +10 (70h)
Michael Kim: +8 (18h)

Dugald Poppa to 5!

0.0%

+15

+38

43%

Scottie Scheffler: -7 (54h)
Robert MacIntyre: +7 (18h)
Akshay Bhatia: +6 (18h)
J.J. Spaun: +5 (18h)
Max Homa: -4 (60h)
Michael Kim: +8 (18h)

Evan Jones

0.0%

+24

+46

46%

Bryson DeChambeau: +6 (18h)
Si Woo Kim: +4 (70h)
Akshay Bhatia: +6 (18h)
J.J. Spaun: +5 (18h)
Ben Griffin: -5 (55h)
Ethan Fang (A): +8 (18h)

Parker Rickert

0.0%

+23

+46

45%

Ludvig Aberg: -6 (58h)
Robert MacIntyre: +7 (18h)
Akshay Bhatia: +6 (18h)
J.J. Spaun: +5 (18h)
Marco Penge: +3 (65h)
Michael Kim: +8 (18h)

Whit Broders

0.0%

+36

+48

61%

Jon Rahm: E (71h)
Min Woo Lee: +11 (18h)
Akshay Bhatia: +6 (18h)
Corey Conners: +4 (68h)
Rasmus Hojgaard: +10 (70h)
Ryan Fox: +5 (18h)

Kevin C.

0.0%

+30

+56

56%

Tommy Fleetwood: -3 (57h)
Hideki Matsuyama: -3 (62h)
Akshay Bhatia: +6 (18h)
J.J. Spaun: +5 (18h)
Rasmus Hojgaard: +10 (70h)
Aldrich Potgieter: +15 (18h)

Conf = avg completion % across the entry's 6 picks. Low-confidence rows (<15%) are priors, not predictions. Proj = mean simulated 72-hole aggregate vs. par. ML ensemble + Bayesian shrinkage + wave bias + tiebreaker.