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The Masters · Pool Live

Augusta National · 2026

2026-04-17 14:11 EDT · 20,000 sims · field completion 43% · wave bias +0.00 · auto-refresh 2m

#	Entry	Win %	Top-3 %	Live	Proj	Conf	Picks
1	Kenny Thornally	32.3%	62.8%	-22	-33	33%	Bryson DeChambeau: ? Robert MacIntyre: -6 (24h) Russell Henley: -6 (36h) Corey Conners: -6 (36h) Ben Griffin: -3 (24h) Brian Harman: -1 (23h)
2	Adam Ryan	22.6%	49.8%	-35	-30	39%	Scottie Scheffler: -7 (36h) Hideki Matsuyama: ? Patrick Cantlay: -9 (36h) Sungjae Im: -5 (23h) Keegan Bradley: -8 (36h) Wyndham Clark: -6 (36h)
3	Patrick Abernethy	12.0%	35.1%	-18	-26	33%	Jon Rahm: ? Patrick Reed: ? Akshay Bhatia: -6 (36h) Nicolai Hojgaard: -1 (36h) Keegan Bradley: -8 (36h) Samuel Stevens: -3 (36h)
4	Jay Warner	7.1%	28.2%	-27	-25	44%	Scottie Scheffler: -7 (36h) Robert MacIntyre: -6 (24h) Russell Henley: -6 (36h) J.J. Spaun: -1 (22h) Max Homa: -1 (35h) Wyndham Clark: -6 (36h)
5	Iker Urquiola	5.0%	18.4%	-20	-20	38%	Ludvig Aberg: -8 (20h) Si Woo Kim: -8 (36h) Akshay Bhatia: -6 (36h) Jacob Bridgeman: +1 (22h) Ryan Gerard: +2 (26h) Nick Taylor: -1 (25h)
6	Madison Montgomery	3.9%	15.4%	-23	-20	36%	Ludvig Aberg: -8 (20h) Min Woo Lee: -2 (27h) Akshay Bhatia: -6 (36h) Nicolai Hojgaard: -1 (36h) Rasmus Hojgaard: ? Wyndham Clark: -6 (36h)
7	Nate Hawthorne	3.5%	14.7%	-24	-20	43%	Matthew Fitzpatrick: -14 (36h) Robert MacIntyre: -6 (24h) Justin Thomas: +4 (20h) Nicolai Hojgaard: -1 (36h) Max Homa: -1 (35h) Wyndham Clark: -6 (36h)
8	Evan Jones	2.5%	11.5%	-18	-17	27%	Bryson DeChambeau: ? Si Woo Kim: -8 (36h) Akshay Bhatia: -6 (36h) J.J. Spaun: -1 (22h) Ben Griffin: -3 (24h) Ethan Fang (A): ?
9	Whit Broders	2.3%	11.0%	-19	-17	31%	Jon Rahm: ? Min Woo Lee: -2 (27h) Akshay Bhatia: -6 (36h) Corey Conners: -6 (36h) Rasmus Hojgaard: ? Ryan Fox: -5 (36h)
10	Karen Goldman	2.1%	8.9%	-13	-14	26%	Cameron Young: E (19h) Justin Rose: ? Jason Day: E (36h) Sepp Straka: -5 (22h) Keegan Bradley: -8 (36h) Mason Howell (A): ?
11	Dave Agar	1.6%	11.4%	-19	-18	34%	Scottie Scheffler: -7 (36h) Robert MacIntyre: -6 (24h) Justin Thomas: +4 (20h) Gary Woodland: -6 (22h) Ben Griffin: -3 (24h) Brian Harman: -1 (23h)
12	Isayah Carrillo	1.2%	5.1%	-21	-13	36%	Scottie Scheffler: -7 (36h) Min Woo Lee: -2 (27h) Akshay Bhatia: -6 (36h) Sepp Straka: -5 (22h) Max Homa: -1 (35h) Dustin Johnson: ?
13	Austin Dubya, Defending Champion	0.8%	4.5%	-15	-14	44%	Cameron Young: E (19h) Min Woo Lee: -2 (27h) Akshay Bhatia: -6 (36h) Corey Conners: -6 (36h) Max Homa: -1 (35h) Michael Kim: E (36h)
14	Parker Rickert	0.8%	3.8%	-19	-9	36%	Ludvig Aberg: -8 (20h) Robert MacIntyre: -6 (24h) Akshay Bhatia: -6 (36h) J.J. Spaun: -1 (22h) Marco Penge: +2 (18h) Michael Kim: E (36h)
15	Dugald Poppa to 5!	0.7%	5.4%	-21	-16	44%	Scottie Scheffler: -7 (36h) Robert MacIntyre: -6 (24h) Akshay Bhatia: -6 (36h) J.J. Spaun: -1 (22h) Max Homa: -1 (35h) Michael Kim: E (36h)
16	Steven Warner	0.4%	3.4%	-18	-9	32%	Xander Schauffele: -5 (36h) Christopher Gotterup: -1 (21h) Akshay Bhatia: -6 (36h) Sepp Straka: -5 (22h) Rasmus Hojgaard: ? Brian Harman: -1 (23h)
17	John Necef	0.4%	2.4%	-17	-7	33%	Scottie Scheffler: -7 (36h) Robert MacIntyre: -6 (24h) Adam Scott: ? J.J. Spaun: -1 (22h) Daniel Berger: -2 (36h) Brian Harman: -1 (23h)
18	Joe Losoya	0.2%	2.1%	-14	-6	30%	Scottie Scheffler: -7 (36h) Hideki Matsuyama: ? Jason Day: E (36h) Sungjae Im: -5 (23h) Daniel Berger: -2 (36h) Aaron Rai: ?
19	Mike Madarasz	0.2%	1.5%	-14	-4	25%	Scottie Scheffler: -7 (36h) Patrick Reed: ? Adam Scott: ? Corey Conners: -6 (36h) Max Homa: -1 (35h) Dustin Johnson: ?
20	Adam Kunes	0.1%	1.5%	-15	-7	38%	Scottie Scheffler: -7 (36h) Hideki Matsuyama: ? Jason Day: E (36h) Corey Conners: -6 (36h) Max Homa: -1 (35h) Brian Harman: -1 (23h)
21	Brian Chmura	<0.1%	1.2%	-16	-3	25%	Jon Rahm: ? Hideki Matsuyama: ? Patrick Cantlay: -9 (36h) Cameron Smith: ? Max Homa: -1 (35h) Wyndham Clark: -6 (36h)
22	Brad Craft	<0.1%	0.6%	-13	-1	26%	Ludvig Aberg: -8 (20h) Hideki Matsuyama: ? Akshay Bhatia: -6 (36h) Jacob Bridgeman: +1 (22h) Rasmus Hojgaard: ? Michael Kim: E (36h)
23	Brian Moran	<0.1%	0.3%	-2	+0	22%	Bryson DeChambeau: ? Justin Rose: ? Jason Day: E (36h) J.J. Spaun: -1 (22h) Max Homa: -1 (35h) Aaron Rai: ?
24	Party Pat	<0.1%	0.3%	-2	+1	22%	Bryson DeChambeau: ? Jordan Spieth: E (19h) Justin Thomas: +4 (20h) Sungjae Im: -5 (23h) Max Homa: -1 (35h) Dustin Johnson: ?
25	James Hall	<0.1%	0.3%	-14	+3	25%	Scottie Scheffler: -7 (36h) Hideki Matsuyama: ? Russell Henley: -6 (36h) Cameron Smith: ? Max Homa: -1 (35h) Dustin Johnson: ?
26	Kevin C.	<0.1%	0.1%	-14	+4	30%	Tommy Fleetwood: +1 (36h) Hideki Matsuyama: ? Akshay Bhatia: -6 (36h) J.J. Spaun: -1 (22h) Rasmus Hojgaard: ? Aldrich Potgieter: -8 (36h)
27	Leah Warner	<0.1%	0.1%	-5	+3	38%	Scottie Scheffler: -7 (36h) Justin Rose: ? Jake Knapp: +4 (36h) J.J. Spaun: -1 (22h) Max Homa: -1 (35h) Michael Kim: E (36h)
28	Colt Agar	0.0%	0.0%	+3	+14	13%	Rory McIlroy: ? Brooks Koepka: ? Justin Thomas: +4 (20h) Cameron Smith: ? Max Homa: -1 (35h) Dustin Johnson: ?

Entry

Win %

Top-3 %

Live

Proj

Conf

Picks

Kenny Thornally

32.3%

62.8%

-22

-33

33%

Bryson DeChambeau: ?
Robert MacIntyre: -6 (24h)
Russell Henley: -6 (36h)
Corey Conners: -6 (36h)
Ben Griffin: -3 (24h)
Brian Harman: -1 (23h)

Adam Ryan

22.6%

49.8%

-35

-30

39%

Scottie Scheffler: -7 (36h)
Hideki Matsuyama: ?
Patrick Cantlay: -9 (36h)
Sungjae Im: -5 (23h)
Keegan Bradley: -8 (36h)
Wyndham Clark: -6 (36h)

Patrick Abernethy

12.0%

35.1%

-18

-26

33%

Jon Rahm: ?
Patrick Reed: ?
Akshay Bhatia: -6 (36h)
Nicolai Hojgaard: -1 (36h)
Keegan Bradley: -8 (36h)
Samuel Stevens: -3 (36h)

Jay Warner

7.1%

28.2%

-27

-25

44%

Scottie Scheffler: -7 (36h)
Robert MacIntyre: -6 (24h)
Russell Henley: -6 (36h)
J.J. Spaun: -1 (22h)
Max Homa: -1 (35h)
Wyndham Clark: -6 (36h)

Iker Urquiola

5.0%

18.4%

-20

38%

Ludvig Aberg: -8 (20h)
Si Woo Kim: -8 (36h)
Akshay Bhatia: -6 (36h)
Jacob Bridgeman: +1 (22h)
Ryan Gerard: +2 (26h)
Nick Taylor: -1 (25h)

Madison Montgomery

3.9%

15.4%

-23

-20

36%

Ludvig Aberg: -8 (20h)
Min Woo Lee: -2 (27h)
Akshay Bhatia: -6 (36h)
Nicolai Hojgaard: -1 (36h)
Rasmus Hojgaard: ?
Wyndham Clark: -6 (36h)

Nate Hawthorne

3.5%

14.7%

-24

-20

43%

Matthew Fitzpatrick: -14 (36h)
Robert MacIntyre: -6 (24h)
Justin Thomas: +4 (20h)
Nicolai Hojgaard: -1 (36h)
Max Homa: -1 (35h)
Wyndham Clark: -6 (36h)

Evan Jones

2.5%

11.5%

-18

-17

27%

Bryson DeChambeau: ?
Si Woo Kim: -8 (36h)
Akshay Bhatia: -6 (36h)
J.J. Spaun: -1 (22h)
Ben Griffin: -3 (24h)
Ethan Fang (A): ?

Whit Broders

2.3%

11.0%

-19

-17

31%

Jon Rahm: ?
Min Woo Lee: -2 (27h)
Akshay Bhatia: -6 (36h)
Corey Conners: -6 (36h)
Rasmus Hojgaard: ?
Ryan Fox: -5 (36h)

Karen Goldman

2.1%

8.9%

-13

-14

26%

Cameron Young: E (19h)
Justin Rose: ?
Jason Day: E (36h)
Sepp Straka: -5 (22h)
Keegan Bradley: -8 (36h)
Mason Howell (A): ?

Dave Agar

1.6%

11.4%

-19

-18

34%

Scottie Scheffler: -7 (36h)
Robert MacIntyre: -6 (24h)
Justin Thomas: +4 (20h)
Gary Woodland: -6 (22h)
Ben Griffin: -3 (24h)
Brian Harman: -1 (23h)

Isayah Carrillo

1.2%

5.1%

-21

-13

36%

Scottie Scheffler: -7 (36h)
Min Woo Lee: -2 (27h)
Akshay Bhatia: -6 (36h)
Sepp Straka: -5 (22h)
Max Homa: -1 (35h)
Dustin Johnson: ?

Austin Dubya, Defending Champion

0.8%

4.5%

-15

-14

44%

Cameron Young: E (19h)
Min Woo Lee: -2 (27h)
Akshay Bhatia: -6 (36h)
Corey Conners: -6 (36h)
Max Homa: -1 (35h)
Michael Kim: E (36h)

Parker Rickert

0.8%

3.8%

-19

-9

36%

Ludvig Aberg: -8 (20h)
Robert MacIntyre: -6 (24h)
Akshay Bhatia: -6 (36h)
J.J. Spaun: -1 (22h)
Marco Penge: +2 (18h)
Michael Kim: E (36h)

Dugald Poppa to 5!

0.7%

5.4%

-21

-16

44%

Scottie Scheffler: -7 (36h)
Robert MacIntyre: -6 (24h)
Akshay Bhatia: -6 (36h)
J.J. Spaun: -1 (22h)
Max Homa: -1 (35h)
Michael Kim: E (36h)

Steven Warner

0.4%

3.4%

-18

-9

32%

Xander Schauffele: -5 (36h)
Christopher Gotterup: -1 (21h)
Akshay Bhatia: -6 (36h)
Sepp Straka: -5 (22h)
Rasmus Hojgaard: ?
Brian Harman: -1 (23h)

John Necef

0.4%

2.4%

-17

-7

33%

Scottie Scheffler: -7 (36h)
Robert MacIntyre: -6 (24h)
Adam Scott: ?
J.J. Spaun: -1 (22h)
Daniel Berger: -2 (36h)
Brian Harman: -1 (23h)

Joe Losoya

0.2%

2.1%

-14

-6

30%

Scottie Scheffler: -7 (36h)
Hideki Matsuyama: ?
Jason Day: E (36h)
Sungjae Im: -5 (23h)
Daniel Berger: -2 (36h)
Aaron Rai: ?

Mike Madarasz

0.2%

1.5%

-14

-4

25%

Scottie Scheffler: -7 (36h)
Patrick Reed: ?
Adam Scott: ?
Corey Conners: -6 (36h)
Max Homa: -1 (35h)
Dustin Johnson: ?

Adam Kunes

0.1%

1.5%

-15

-7

38%

Scottie Scheffler: -7 (36h)
Hideki Matsuyama: ?
Jason Day: E (36h)
Corey Conners: -6 (36h)
Max Homa: -1 (35h)
Brian Harman: -1 (23h)

Brian Chmura

<0.1%

1.2%

-16

-3

25%

Jon Rahm: ?
Hideki Matsuyama: ?
Patrick Cantlay: -9 (36h)
Cameron Smith: ?
Max Homa: -1 (35h)
Wyndham Clark: -6 (36h)

Brad Craft

<0.1%

0.6%

-13

-1

26%

Ludvig Aberg: -8 (20h)
Hideki Matsuyama: ?
Akshay Bhatia: -6 (36h)
Jacob Bridgeman: +1 (22h)
Rasmus Hojgaard: ?
Michael Kim: E (36h)

Brian Moran

<0.1%

0.3%

-2

22%

Bryson DeChambeau: ?
Justin Rose: ?
Jason Day: E (36h)
J.J. Spaun: -1 (22h)
Max Homa: -1 (35h)
Aaron Rai: ?

Party Pat

<0.1%

0.3%

-2

22%

Bryson DeChambeau: ?
Jordan Spieth: E (19h)
Justin Thomas: +4 (20h)
Sungjae Im: -5 (23h)
Max Homa: -1 (35h)
Dustin Johnson: ?

James Hall

<0.1%

0.3%

-14

25%

Scottie Scheffler: -7 (36h)
Hideki Matsuyama: ?
Russell Henley: -6 (36h)
Cameron Smith: ?
Max Homa: -1 (35h)
Dustin Johnson: ?

Kevin C.

<0.1%

0.1%

-14

30%

Tommy Fleetwood: +1 (36h)
Hideki Matsuyama: ?
Akshay Bhatia: -6 (36h)
J.J. Spaun: -1 (22h)
Rasmus Hojgaard: ?
Aldrich Potgieter: -8 (36h)

Leah Warner

<0.1%

0.1%

-5

38%

Scottie Scheffler: -7 (36h)
Justin Rose: ?
Jake Knapp: +4 (36h)
J.J. Spaun: -1 (22h)
Max Homa: -1 (35h)
Michael Kim: E (36h)

Colt Agar

0.0%

+14

13%

Rory McIlroy: ?
Brooks Koepka: ?
Justin Thomas: +4 (20h)
Cameron Smith: ?
Max Homa: -1 (35h)
Dustin Johnson: ?

Conf = avg completion % across the entry's 6 picks. Low-confidence rows (<15%) are priors, not predictions. Proj = mean simulated 72-hole aggregate vs. par. ML ensemble + Bayesian shrinkage + wave bias + tiebreaker.