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The Masters · Pool Live

Augusta National · 2026

2026-04-17 11:10 EDT · 20,000 sims · field completion 32% · wave bias +0.00 · auto-refresh 2m

#	Entry	Win %	Top-3 %	Live	Proj	Conf	Picks
1	Kenny Thornally	38.2%	68.5%	-17	-29	24%	Bryson DeChambeau: ? Robert MacIntyre: -5 (18h) Russell Henley: -5 (24h) Corey Conners: -5 (26h) Ben Griffin: -2 (18h) Brian Harman: E (18h)
2	Adam Ryan	19.5%	46.2%	-27	-22	29%	Scottie Scheffler: -5 (23h) Hideki Matsuyama: ? Patrick Cantlay: -4 (26h) Sungjae Im: -5 (18h) Keegan Bradley: -8 (29h) Wyndham Clark: -5 (31h)
3	Jay Warner	12.4%	40.3%	-23	-21	31%	Scottie Scheffler: -5 (23h) Robert MacIntyre: -5 (18h) Russell Henley: -5 (24h) J.J. Spaun: -2 (18h) Max Homa: -1 (21h) Wyndham Clark: -5 (31h)
4	Karen Goldman	5.3%	18.1%	-12	-12	20%	Cameron Young: E (18h) Justin Rose: ? Jason Day: +1 (22h) Sepp Straka: -5 (18h) Keegan Bradley: -8 (29h) Mason Howell (A): ?
5	Patrick Abernethy	4.0%	13.4%	-11	-10	28%	Jon Rahm: ? Patrick Reed: ? Akshay Bhatia: -1 (27h) Nicolai Hojgaard: E (32h) Keegan Bradley: -8 (29h) Samuel Stevens: -2 (33h)
6	Iker Urquiola	3.1%	12.8%	-12	-9	29%	Ludvig Aberg: -8 (18h) Si Woo Kim: -7 (28h) Akshay Bhatia: -1 (27h) Jacob Bridgeman: +4 (18h) Ryan Gerard: +2 (18h) Nick Taylor: -2 (18h)
7	Madison Montgomery	3.0%	12.3%	-15	-11	29%	Ludvig Aberg: -8 (18h) Min Woo Lee: -1 (18h) Akshay Bhatia: -1 (27h) Nicolai Hojgaard: E (32h) Rasmus Hojgaard: ? Wyndham Clark: -5 (31h)
8	Whit Broders	2.3%	11.0%	-12	-9	25%	Jon Rahm: ? Min Woo Lee: -1 (18h) Akshay Bhatia: -1 (27h) Corey Conners: -5 (26h) Rasmus Hojgaard: ? Ryan Fox: -5 (36h)
9	Evan Jones	2.2%	11.8%	-12	-10	21%	Bryson DeChambeau: ? Si Woo Kim: -7 (28h) Akshay Bhatia: -1 (27h) J.J. Spaun: -2 (18h) Ben Griffin: -2 (18h) Ethan Fang (A): ?
10	Dave Agar	2.0%	14.7%	-13	-12	26%	Scottie Scheffler: -5 (23h) Robert MacIntyre: -5 (18h) Justin Thomas: +5 (18h) Gary Woodland: -6 (18h) Ben Griffin: -2 (18h) Brian Harman: E (18h)
11	Parker Rickert	1.1%	5.4%	-14	-4	31%	Ludvig Aberg: -8 (18h) Robert MacIntyre: -5 (18h) Akshay Bhatia: -1 (27h) J.J. Spaun: -2 (18h) Marco Penge: +2 (18h) Michael Kim: E (36h)
12	Nate Hawthorne	1.1%	7.1%	-14	-8	33%	Matthew Fitzpatrick: -8 (23h) Robert MacIntyre: -5 (18h) Justin Thomas: +5 (18h) Nicolai Hojgaard: E (32h) Max Homa: -1 (21h) Wyndham Clark: -5 (31h)
13	Mike Madarasz	0.9%	3.8%	-11	-2	16%	Scottie Scheffler: -5 (23h) Patrick Reed: ? Adam Scott: ? Corey Conners: -5 (26h) Max Homa: -1 (21h) Dustin Johnson: ?
14	Isayah Carrillo	0.9%	4.0%	-13	-4	25%	Scottie Scheffler: -5 (23h) Min Woo Lee: -1 (18h) Akshay Bhatia: -1 (27h) Sepp Straka: -5 (18h) Max Homa: -1 (21h) Dustin Johnson: ?
15	John Necef	0.8%	5.4%	-14	-5	26%	Scottie Scheffler: -5 (23h) Robert MacIntyre: -5 (18h) Adam Scott: ? J.J. Spaun: -2 (18h) Daniel Berger: -2 (34h) Brian Harman: E (18h)
16	Joe Losoya	0.6%	4.8%	-11	-3	22%	Scottie Scheffler: -5 (23h) Hideki Matsuyama: ? Jason Day: +1 (22h) Sungjae Im: -5 (18h) Daniel Berger: -2 (34h) Aaron Rai: ?
17	Austin Dubya, Defending Champion	0.6%	3.7%	-8	-5	34%	Cameron Young: E (18h) Min Woo Lee: -1 (18h) Akshay Bhatia: -1 (27h) Corey Conners: -5 (26h) Max Homa: -1 (21h) Michael Kim: E (36h)
18	Dugald Poppa to 5!	0.5%	5.0%	-14	-8	33%	Scottie Scheffler: -5 (23h) Robert MacIntyre: -5 (18h) Akshay Bhatia: -1 (27h) J.J. Spaun: -2 (18h) Max Homa: -1 (21h) Michael Kim: E (36h)
19	Party Pat	0.4%	2.2%	-3	+1	17%	Bryson DeChambeau: ? Jordan Spieth: -2 (18h) Justin Thomas: +5 (18h) Sungjae Im: -5 (18h) Max Homa: -1 (21h) Dustin Johnson: ?
20	Steven Warner	0.4%	3.1%	-11	-1	24%	Xander Schauffele: -4 (24h) Christopher Gotterup: -1 (18h) Akshay Bhatia: -1 (27h) Sepp Straka: -5 (18h) Rasmus Hojgaard: ? Brian Harman: E (18h)
21	Adam Kunes	0.2%	2.0%	-10	-1	25%	Scottie Scheffler: -5 (23h) Hideki Matsuyama: ? Jason Day: +1 (22h) Corey Conners: -5 (26h) Max Homa: -1 (21h) Brian Harman: E (18h)
22	Leah Warner	0.1%	0.9%	-7	+2	28%	Scottie Scheffler: -5 (23h) Justin Rose: ? Jake Knapp: +1 (22h) J.J. Spaun: -2 (18h) Max Homa: -1 (21h) Michael Kim: E (36h)
23	Brian Moran	<0.1%	1.0%	-2	+3	14%	Bryson DeChambeau: ? Justin Rose: ? Jason Day: +1 (22h) J.J. Spaun: -2 (18h) Max Homa: -1 (21h) Aaron Rai: ?
24	James Hall	<0.1%	0.8%	-11	+5	16%	Scottie Scheffler: -5 (23h) Hideki Matsuyama: ? Russell Henley: -5 (24h) Cameron Smith: ? Max Homa: -1 (21h) Dustin Johnson: ?
25	Brian Chmura	<0.1%	1.1%	-10	+5	18%	Jon Rahm: ? Hideki Matsuyama: ? Patrick Cantlay: -4 (26h) Cameron Smith: ? Max Homa: -1 (21h) Wyndham Clark: -5 (31h)
26	Brad Craft	<0.1%	0.3%	-5	+7	23%	Ludvig Aberg: -8 (18h) Hideki Matsuyama: ? Akshay Bhatia: -1 (27h) Jacob Bridgeman: +4 (18h) Rasmus Hojgaard: ? Michael Kim: E (36h)
27	Kevin C.	<0.1%	0.2%	-8	+14	23%	Tommy Fleetwood: +3 (23h) Hideki Matsuyama: ? Akshay Bhatia: -1 (27h) J.J. Spaun: -2 (18h) Rasmus Hojgaard: ? Aldrich Potgieter: -8 (31h)
28	Colt Agar	<0.1%	0.1%	+4	+17	9%	Rory McIlroy: ? Brooks Koepka: ? Justin Thomas: +5 (18h) Cameron Smith: ? Max Homa: -1 (21h) Dustin Johnson: ?

Entry

Win %

Top-3 %

Live

Proj

Conf

Picks

Kenny Thornally

38.2%

68.5%

-17

-29

24%

Bryson DeChambeau: ?
Robert MacIntyre: -5 (18h)
Russell Henley: -5 (24h)
Corey Conners: -5 (26h)
Ben Griffin: -2 (18h)
Brian Harman: E (18h)

Adam Ryan

19.5%

46.2%

-27

-22

29%

Scottie Scheffler: -5 (23h)
Hideki Matsuyama: ?
Patrick Cantlay: -4 (26h)
Sungjae Im: -5 (18h)
Keegan Bradley: -8 (29h)
Wyndham Clark: -5 (31h)

Jay Warner

12.4%

40.3%

-23

-21

31%

Scottie Scheffler: -5 (23h)
Robert MacIntyre: -5 (18h)
Russell Henley: -5 (24h)
J.J. Spaun: -2 (18h)
Max Homa: -1 (21h)
Wyndham Clark: -5 (31h)

Karen Goldman

5.3%

18.1%

-12

20%

Cameron Young: E (18h)
Justin Rose: ?
Jason Day: +1 (22h)
Sepp Straka: -5 (18h)
Keegan Bradley: -8 (29h)
Mason Howell (A): ?

Patrick Abernethy

4.0%

13.4%

-11

-10

28%

Jon Rahm: ?
Patrick Reed: ?
Akshay Bhatia: -1 (27h)
Nicolai Hojgaard: E (32h)
Keegan Bradley: -8 (29h)
Samuel Stevens: -2 (33h)

Iker Urquiola

3.1%

12.8%

-12

-9

29%

Ludvig Aberg: -8 (18h)
Si Woo Kim: -7 (28h)
Akshay Bhatia: -1 (27h)
Jacob Bridgeman: +4 (18h)
Ryan Gerard: +2 (18h)
Nick Taylor: -2 (18h)

Madison Montgomery

3.0%

12.3%

-15

-11

29%

Ludvig Aberg: -8 (18h)
Min Woo Lee: -1 (18h)
Akshay Bhatia: -1 (27h)
Nicolai Hojgaard: E (32h)
Rasmus Hojgaard: ?
Wyndham Clark: -5 (31h)

Whit Broders

2.3%

11.0%

-12

-9

25%

Jon Rahm: ?
Min Woo Lee: -1 (18h)
Akshay Bhatia: -1 (27h)
Corey Conners: -5 (26h)
Rasmus Hojgaard: ?
Ryan Fox: -5 (36h)

Evan Jones

2.2%

11.8%

-12

-10

21%

Bryson DeChambeau: ?
Si Woo Kim: -7 (28h)
Akshay Bhatia: -1 (27h)
J.J. Spaun: -2 (18h)
Ben Griffin: -2 (18h)
Ethan Fang (A): ?

Dave Agar

2.0%

14.7%

-13

-12

26%

Scottie Scheffler: -5 (23h)
Robert MacIntyre: -5 (18h)
Justin Thomas: +5 (18h)
Gary Woodland: -6 (18h)
Ben Griffin: -2 (18h)
Brian Harman: E (18h)

Parker Rickert

1.1%

5.4%

-14

-4

31%

Ludvig Aberg: -8 (18h)
Robert MacIntyre: -5 (18h)
Akshay Bhatia: -1 (27h)
J.J. Spaun: -2 (18h)
Marco Penge: +2 (18h)
Michael Kim: E (36h)

Nate Hawthorne

1.1%

7.1%

-14

-8

33%

Matthew Fitzpatrick: -8 (23h)
Robert MacIntyre: -5 (18h)
Justin Thomas: +5 (18h)
Nicolai Hojgaard: E (32h)
Max Homa: -1 (21h)
Wyndham Clark: -5 (31h)

Mike Madarasz

0.9%

3.8%

-11

-2

16%

Scottie Scheffler: -5 (23h)
Patrick Reed: ?
Adam Scott: ?
Corey Conners: -5 (26h)
Max Homa: -1 (21h)
Dustin Johnson: ?

Isayah Carrillo

0.9%

4.0%

-13

-4

25%

Scottie Scheffler: -5 (23h)
Min Woo Lee: -1 (18h)
Akshay Bhatia: -1 (27h)
Sepp Straka: -5 (18h)
Max Homa: -1 (21h)
Dustin Johnson: ?

John Necef

0.8%

5.4%

-14

-5

26%

Scottie Scheffler: -5 (23h)
Robert MacIntyre: -5 (18h)
Adam Scott: ?
J.J. Spaun: -2 (18h)
Daniel Berger: -2 (34h)
Brian Harman: E (18h)

Joe Losoya

0.6%

4.8%

-11

-3

22%

Scottie Scheffler: -5 (23h)
Hideki Matsuyama: ?
Jason Day: +1 (22h)
Sungjae Im: -5 (18h)
Daniel Berger: -2 (34h)
Aaron Rai: ?

Austin Dubya, Defending Champion

0.6%

3.7%

-8

-5

34%

Cameron Young: E (18h)
Min Woo Lee: -1 (18h)
Akshay Bhatia: -1 (27h)
Corey Conners: -5 (26h)
Max Homa: -1 (21h)
Michael Kim: E (36h)

Dugald Poppa to 5!

0.5%

5.0%

-14

-8

33%

Scottie Scheffler: -5 (23h)
Robert MacIntyre: -5 (18h)
Akshay Bhatia: -1 (27h)
J.J. Spaun: -2 (18h)
Max Homa: -1 (21h)
Michael Kim: E (36h)

Party Pat

0.4%

2.2%

-3

17%

Bryson DeChambeau: ?
Jordan Spieth: -2 (18h)
Justin Thomas: +5 (18h)
Sungjae Im: -5 (18h)
Max Homa: -1 (21h)
Dustin Johnson: ?

Steven Warner

0.4%

3.1%

-11

-1

24%

Xander Schauffele: -4 (24h)
Christopher Gotterup: -1 (18h)
Akshay Bhatia: -1 (27h)
Sepp Straka: -5 (18h)
Rasmus Hojgaard: ?
Brian Harman: E (18h)

Adam Kunes

0.2%

2.0%

-10

-1

25%

Scottie Scheffler: -5 (23h)
Hideki Matsuyama: ?
Jason Day: +1 (22h)
Corey Conners: -5 (26h)
Max Homa: -1 (21h)
Brian Harman: E (18h)

Leah Warner

0.1%

0.9%

-7

28%

Scottie Scheffler: -5 (23h)
Justin Rose: ?
Jake Knapp: +1 (22h)
J.J. Spaun: -2 (18h)
Max Homa: -1 (21h)
Michael Kim: E (36h)

Brian Moran

<0.1%

1.0%

-2

14%

Bryson DeChambeau: ?
Justin Rose: ?
Jason Day: +1 (22h)
J.J. Spaun: -2 (18h)
Max Homa: -1 (21h)
Aaron Rai: ?

James Hall

<0.1%

0.8%

-11

16%

Scottie Scheffler: -5 (23h)
Hideki Matsuyama: ?
Russell Henley: -5 (24h)
Cameron Smith: ?
Max Homa: -1 (21h)
Dustin Johnson: ?

Brian Chmura

<0.1%

1.1%

-10

18%

Jon Rahm: ?
Hideki Matsuyama: ?
Patrick Cantlay: -4 (26h)
Cameron Smith: ?
Max Homa: -1 (21h)
Wyndham Clark: -5 (31h)

Brad Craft

<0.1%

0.3%

-5

23%

Ludvig Aberg: -8 (18h)
Hideki Matsuyama: ?
Akshay Bhatia: -1 (27h)
Jacob Bridgeman: +4 (18h)
Rasmus Hojgaard: ?
Michael Kim: E (36h)

Kevin C.

<0.1%

0.2%

-8

+14

23%

Tommy Fleetwood: +3 (23h)
Hideki Matsuyama: ?
Akshay Bhatia: -1 (27h)
J.J. Spaun: -2 (18h)
Rasmus Hojgaard: ?
Aldrich Potgieter: -8 (31h)

Colt Agar

<0.1%

0.1%

+17

Rory McIlroy: ?
Brooks Koepka: ?
Justin Thomas: +5 (18h)
Cameron Smith: ?
Max Homa: -1 (21h)
Dustin Johnson: ?

Conf = avg completion % across the entry's 6 picks. Low-confidence rows (<15%) are priors, not predictions. Proj = mean simulated 72-hole aggregate vs. par. ML ensemble + Bayesian shrinkage + wave bias + tiebreaker.